Intel’s Quiet Comeback

Charts are flashing signs of renewed strength.

Trading Lessons
October 24, 2025

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Intel (INTC) is finally giving investors a reason to reopen its chart.

After months of treading water, the chipmaker reported earnings that smashed expectations — $0.23 per share vs. $0.02 forecast — with revenue of $13.7 billion topping estimates. The market’s reaction was immediate: shares jumped above $41 early in the session, their highest level in 18 months.

But the real story isn’t in the headline numbers. It’s in the pattern forming beneath them.

What the Chart Shows

Intel’s chart is showing one of technical analysis’s oldest — and most watched — patterns: the Golden Cross.

That happens when a stock’s 50-day moving average (short-term trend) crosses above its 200-day moving average (long-term trend). It’s a sign that short-term strength is aligning with long-term momentum — or in plain English, that the crowd’s optimism might finally match the company’s direction.

Intel’s Golden Cross appeared in August 2025, and since then, price action has stayed constructive. The stock broke out of a rectangle formation (a sideways consolidation that often precedes a continuation move), setting the stage for a potential next leg higher.

The key takeaway? Momentum doesn’t change all at once. It builds quietly — then breaks loudly. ↓

Fundamentals Meet Follow-Through

Intel’s comeback story has been about execution, not hype.

CEO Lip-Bu Tan, who took over in March, credited “steady progress” in steering the turnaround. AI-driven demand has opened new doors — and partnerships with Nvidia, SoftBank, and even a 10% U.S. government stake have restored confidence in Intel’s strategic role in the chip ecosystem.

The stock is up nearly 90% since July, reflecting renewed optimism that Intel’s rebuilding phase is more than a headline. Still, it’s a cautious optimism — the kind built on fundamentals and patience, not euphoria.

Key Daily Levels:

Lesson of the Day: Golden Cross vs. Death Cross

A Golden Cross occurs when short-term momentum overtakes long-term trend — typically when the 50-day MA moves above the 200-day MA.

It’s a signal of strength through alignment — when both traders and institutions agree on direction.

But every light casts a shadow.

The opposite — the Death Cross — happens when short-term averages fall below long-term ones, signaling potential weakness ahead.

In both cases, the signal is only as good as the structure behind it. A cross without confirmation often leads to false optimism — or premature panic.

Neither predicts the future. Both confirm what the market’s already starting to believe.

In Intel’s case, the signal’s backed by structure and volume — the kind of alignment that gives moves staying power.

Summary:
Patterns tell you when sentiment changes, not why.
Golden Crosses attract momentum — but Death Crosses test conviction.
True reversals hold above structure, not headlines.

Lessons Learned

Momentum attracts attention. Discipline earns results.

Please share your story: What’s the moment that taught you to wait for confirmation — not anticipation?

Drop it in the comments here.

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